Introduction

With the recent addition of Gerrit Cole to the New York Yankees, the team is seeing a surge in popularity and fan enthusiasm. However, does this investment mean that the Yankees are now the prohibitive favorite for the 2020 American League (AL) Pennant? Let's dive deeper into this question, exploring the historical context, the team's current state, and the uncertain road ahead.

Historical Context: The Cost of Prohibitive Favorites

The term 'prohibitive favorite' is a double-edged sword in professional sports. Historically, certain factors can lead to the feeling that a particular team is unassailable, though these perceptions often crumble under the weight of the actual postseason games. One such example occurred during the 2017-2018 season when the Yankees signed Giancarlo Stanton. Fans were euphoric, predicting a surefire World Series victory. Alas, the Red Sox, with the help of the Yankees, defeated them in the opening round of the playoffs, and Stanton’s season ended with an underwhelming stat line.

The Current State of the Yankees

Adding Gerrit Cole to the Starting Rotation for the Yankees may seem like a game-changing move, especially given his standout performance in the previous season. Cole, with his reputation for consistency, could indeed shore up a previously vulnerable starting lineup. However, it is essential to consider the broader picture. Other factors—such as potential free agency losses and line-up adjustments—can significantly impact the team's overall performance and prospects.

The AL Eastern Division Oversights

The Yankees are certainly a formidable team with a deep roster. However, the AL East is known for its competitiveness. Teams like the Toronto Blue Jays, Tampa Bay Rays, and Boston Red Sox continue to have strong seasonal performances, ensuring that the postseason picture remains uncertain. The Rays' 96 wins in the previous season, their improvement from Boston (who had an off year), and the consistent presence of wild card contenders in other divisions underscore this reality.

Projecting Potential Outcomes

While Gerrit Cole certainly enhances the Yankees’ chances, fans should remain cautious in their optimism. The success of a single player, no matter how talented, is often overshadowed by the collective performance of a team. Other pitchers and players could significantly influence the outcome. For instance, the loss of Clint Frazier and Aroldis Chapman, key contributors to the bullpen, could lighten the Yankees' already fragile defensive stance.

Conclusion: A Balanced Approach to Expectations

It is undoubtedly true that Gerrit Cole is a top-tier pitcher, and his acquisition brings substantial value to the Yankees. However, proclaiming the Yankees as the prohibitive favorite for the AL Pennant would be premature. The path to the pennant is fraught with challenges, including internal and external factors. As with any major league team, the Yankees must navigate through a series of games, injuries, and unexpected fallouts before they can secure a place in the postseason.

It is essential for both fans and analysts to practice a balanced approach—appreciating the potential of Cole while maintaining a realistic outlook on the team's overall prospects. The 2020 AL Pennant remains a fascinating and unpredictable journey, one that will unfold over the coming months.